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This earth has witnessed much bloodshed in wars and otherwise. In 19th Century the Europe was the theatre of War and Millions of people were killed. Then the mankind has also witnessed the first and second world war. Those were climax of the death tolls. In First World War about 17 Million were killed. In second war 50 to 55 Million people died.  Hitler killed about 10 million people; Joseph Stalin  from 1920 to 1953 killed about 20 million people.  Out of them 14 Million were killed due to food shortage, Mussolini killed 400,000 people; some thousand people were killed in Ethiopian war. After 1945, some order was in placed but then there was Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan and other wars. The order is due to Nuclear War catastrophe. As we know the horror of Hiroshima and Nagasaki that has horrified the world and the nuclear Powers avoid direct war. Now new Hilter is born and is in power in India and openly talking about nuclear war not knowing its effects which are so terrifying that cannot be explained in words. Some of the experts, mainly Brig. Agha saheb have explained it and I have derived a little bit assessment which I will explain to you. My assessment of effects of nuclear is thus limited in scope. These comments are Not Pakistan’s official stand.

Ladies and Gentlemen

Effects of Strategic Nuclear ExchangeBetween Pakistan and India

 It has been noticed that Indian politico-military leadership for years now has been given nuclear-war related statements in an irresponsible style,  that shows that they are ignorant of the devastation of a nuclear weapon and strategic impact of a nuclear exchange.

 At least the Indian military should know what it implies. The result of this cavalier attitude can be a repeat of Balakot type attack on Pakistan, could turn to nuclear this time. The Indian Air Chief knew what was being asked of him by his political master. It seems, as a professional, rather than refuse, he directed the attack at an empty ridge. If this is not true then the Indian Air Force is grossly incompetent as it failed to hit the ordered target.

There was a statement by PM IK that India was planning to launch a missile attack on three cities of Pakistan in retaliation to its two intruding jet fighters which were shot down by PAF. The attack was cancelled, presumably when Pakistan informed the US that it will immediately retaliate.

Indian politico-military leadership does not realize that Pakistan’s air defense is capable to neutralize any missile in the air directed against it as a nuclear missile? There will be no time to waste in ascertaining the nature of missile after its impact. Consequently, it will inform the National Command Authority that Indian missiles are flying towards Pakistan. The National Command Authority (NCA) will have only minutes to retaliate, of course with nuclear missiles. 

The nuclear exchange between Pakistan and India will not follow the gradual escalation from counter force to counter value targets. In our peculiar operational environment, and given the cavalier attitude of Indian leadership on record towards use of Nuclear weapons, India will start by attacking counter value targets and Pakistan will be forced to retaliate in kind. In matter of minutes, at best hours, the two countries, with conventional forces more or less still intact, will settle down to grapple with an operational environment without nuclear weapons.


But the situation on ground will not allow any movement by the conventional forces.

The leadership in all probability would have been decapitated. The left over armed forces and public will be like headless chickens.

War will almost immediately come to an end with millions of dead and millions more wounded on both sides.

  • Millions will be blinded by the nuclear flash in a micro second, millions will be burnt instantly by the heat wave,
  • millions will be crushed by the over-pressures,
  • and millions will be lifted and thrown away to their death by the tremendous nuclear blasts.

Localities around ground zero for miles will instantly catch fire and then within 3 minutes the invisible radiation will start spreading circumstantially followed by nuclear fallout driven by gravity and the winds. 

Besides normal winds, the nuclear detonations will create their own stormy winds for several miles. Electromagnetic Pulse will instantly burn

  • all electronic circuits for several miles,
  • crashing flying machines,
  • Stopping all transport, killing all communications and making all medical equipment having any electronic parts unserviceable. 
  • Electricity and gas supply will stop.
  • Tube wells will stop functioning
  • and there will be soon no drinking water,
  • No fuel to cook. 

Those who die within 3 minutes will be very lucky.

  • They rest will have no medication,
  • no doctors,
  • no water for de-contamination due to radiation and radiation dust.
  • They will not be able to move if they are seriously wounded and no medical evacuation will be possible.
  • Those away from ground zero and not-wounded or walking-wounded will have to go on foot where ever they may wish to go.
  • Those trying to flee away from ground zero will choke the roads,
  • left over facilities and start fighting for the meager logistics left to survive.
  • Lack of drinking water and lack of food will go on killing all around.
  • Looting and murder for food and water will start. Police and government will cease to exist all around ground zero.
  • Nuclear detonations on ports or near them will stop all imports and exports, possibly for several months if not more.

Possibly after weeks, local governments will start emerging. Provincial and central governments will be non-existent for quite some time.


Modi and his military commanders should understand it. Never mind if the Indian public does not, because they are not the ones talking about attacking Pakistan by nuclear weapons in the First Strike.

So far as Indian Defense Minister’s latest irresponsible statement is concerned that India has given up on the doctrine of No First Use. He should know that Pakistan now has Triad Response Capability. Pakistan armed forces also know about Nuclear Decapitation Strategy. India can employ Nuclear Weapons in a first strike, it will be responded in kind faster than India can imagine.

Pakistan, confronted with a bully, which is 7 times bigger, with a superior Hitler like mindset since long. It is not afraid of confrontation and being destroyed while it will destroy the bully all the same. India, especially its politico-military leaders needs to educate themselves on the science and dynamics of nuclear weapons and strategic nuclear exchange, or else, it will end up making its 1.3 b population experience it. If it happens it will be sorry state of mankind history. Whole universe will be affected without the growth food and shall die with hunger and cold.

Knowing the consequences the world is keeping quit as if it has control over Pakistan government which has seemingly accepted Modi’s expansionism and state terrorism over the people of Kashmir a blunder to lead the catastrophe of and human being and risking the security and integrity of Pakistan.

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