Long Range Attack On Saudi Oil Field Ends War On Yemen

YEMAN

By Moon Of Alabama

August 18, 2019 “Information Clearing House” –
Today Saudi Arabia finally lost the war on Yemen. It has no defenses against
new weapons the Houthis in Yemen acquired. These weapons threaten the Saudis
economic lifelines. This today was the decisive attack:

Drones launched by Yemen’s Houthi rebels attacked a
massive oil and gas field deep inside Saudi Arabia’s sprawling desert on
Saturday, causing what the kingdom described as a “limited fire” in the second
such recent attack on its crucial energy industry. The Saudi acknowledgement of
the attack came hours after Yahia Sarie, a military spokesman for the Houthis,
issued a video statement claiming the rebels launched 10 bomb-laden drones
targeting the field in their “biggest-ever” operation. He threatened more attacks
would be coming.

New drones and missiles displayed in July 2019 by Yemen’s
Houthi-allied armed forces

Today’s attack is a check mate move against the Saudis.
Shaybah is some 1,200 kilometers (750 miles) from Houthi-controlled territory.
There are many more important economic targets within that range:

The field’s distance from rebel-held territory in Yemen
demonstrates the range of the Houthis’ drones. U.N. investigators say the
Houthis’ new UAV-X drone, found in recent months during the Saudi-led coalition’s
war in Yemen, likely has a range of up to 1,500 kilometers (930 miles). That
puts Saudi oil fields, an under-construction Emirati nuclear power plant and
Dubai’s busy international airport within their range. Unlike sophisticated
drones that use satellites to allow pilots to remotely fly them, analysts
believe Houthi drones are likely programmed to strike a specific latitude and
longitude and cannot be controlled once out of radio range. The Houthis have
used drones, which can be difficult to track by radar, to attack Saudi Patriot
missile batteries, as well as enemy troops.

The attack conclusively demonstrates that the most
important assets of the Saudis are now under threat. This economic threat comes
on top of a seven percent budget deficit the IMF predicts for Saudi Arabia.
Further Saudi bombing against the Houthi will now have very significant
additional cost that might even endanger the viability of the Saudi state. The
Houthi have clown prince Mohammad bin Salman by the balls and can squeeze those
at will.

The drones and missiles the Houthi use are copies of
Iranian designs assembled in Yemen with the help of Hizbullah experts from
Lebanon. Four days ago a Houthi delegation visited Iran. During the visit
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei for the first time publicly admitted that
the Houthi have Iran’s support:

“I declare my support for the resistance of Yemen’s
believing men and women … Yemen’s people… will establish a strong
government,” state TV quoted Khamenei as saying in a meeting with the
visiting chief negotiator of the Houthi movement Mohammed Abdul-Salam.
Khamenei, who held talks for the first time in Tehran with a senior Houthi
representative, also called for “strong resistance against the Saudi-led
plots to divide Yemen”, the semi-official Fars news agency reported.

“A unified and coherent Yemen with sovereign
integrity should be endorsed. Given Yemen’s religious and ethnic diversity,
protecting Yemen’s integrity requires domestic dialogue,” he said, TV
reported.

The visit in Tehran proved that the Houthi are no longer
an unrecognized, isolated movement:

Officials from Iran, Britain, France, Germany, and Italy,
as well as Yemen’s Houthi Ansarullah movement, exchanged views about political
resolution of the protracted war in the Arabian Peninsula country. The meeting
was held at the Iranian Foreign Ministry in Tehran on Saturday with delegations
from Iran, Ansarullah and the four European countries in attendance. The
delegates at the meeting explained their respective governments’ views on the
developments in Yemen, including political and battlefield developments as well
as the humanitarian situation in the country.

The delegates stressed the need for an immediate end to
the war and described political means as the ultimate solution to the crisis.

The war on Yemen that MbS started in March 2015 long
proved to be unwinnable. Now it is definitely lost. Neither the U.S. nor the
Europeans will come to the Saudis help. There are no technological means to
reasonably protect against such attacks. Poor Yemen defeated rich Saudi Arabia.
The Saudi side will have to agree to political peace negotiations. The Yemeni
demand for reparation payments will be eye watering. But the Saudis will have
no alternative but to cough up whatever the Houthi demand. The UAE was smart to
pull out of Yemen during the last months. Its war aim was to gain control of
the port of Aden. Its alliance with southern Yemen separatist who now control
the city guarantees that. How long they will be able to hold on to it when
Khamenei rejects a division of Yemen remains to be seen.

Today’s attack has an even larger dimension than marking
the end of the war on Yemen. That Iran supplied drones with 1,500 kilometer
reach to its allies in Yemen means that its allies in Lebanon, Syria and Iraq
have access to similar means.

Israel and Turkey will have to take that into
consideration. U.S. bases along the Persian Gulf and in Afghanistan must
likewise watch out. Iran has not only ballistic missiles to attack those bases
but also drones against which U.S. missile and air defense systems are more or
less useless. Only the UAE, which bought Russian Pantsir S-1 air defense systems
on German MAN truck chassis(!), has some capabilities to take those drones
down. The Pentagon would probably love to buy some of these.

It was the U.S. use of stealthy drones against Iran that
gave it a chance to capture one and to analyze and clone it. Iran’s extensive
drone program is indigenous and quite old but it benefited from technology the
U.S. unintentionally provided.

All the wars the U.S. and its allies waged in the Middle
East, against Afghanistan (2001), Iraq (2003), Lebanon (2006), Syria (2011),
Iraq (2014) and Yemen (2015), ended up with unintentionally making Iran and its
allies stronger.

There is a lesson to learn from that. But it is doubtful
that the borg in Washington DC has the ability to understand it.

This article was originally
published by ” Moon Of Alabama”

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